02CASES / SOURCE-GROUNDED RECONSTRUCTIONS

Judgment under consequence.

Trace how a real system moved from observation to action. Each record identifies what its evidence can—and cannot—establish.

7 CASES · ALL DRAWN FROM WORKING MANUSCRIPT SOURCES · NOT INDEPENDENTLY REVIEWED HERE

7 / 7 RECORDS
CASE 001AVIATION
Manuscript figure showing the V1 decision speed, reject region, and continue region.
A named decision boundary

Rejected takeoff at V1

A speed turns the reject-or-continue judgment into a commitment with a shrinking physical margin.

Open case
CASE 002FINANCE
GERMANY / MORNINGDeutsche Marks paid irrevocably
TIME-ZONE GAPHerstatt closed after German settlement ended
NEW YORK / LATERExpected dollars did not arrive
Two obligations, different settlement times

The Herstatt settlement gap

One currency had been paid; the other was expected later, across a boundary no single party controlled.

Open case
CASE 003HEALTHCARE
Eight-hospital studyMortality 1.5% → 0.8%
Ontario mandateMortality 0.71% → 0.65% · not significant
A pause versus what becomes established

The surgical checklist contrast

A well-known before–after study reported improved outcomes; a later province-wide mandate found no statistically significant reduction.

Open case
CASE 004TRADE FINANCE
01PRESENT DOCUMENTS
02CHECK AGAINST CREDIT
03LIST DISCREPANCIES
04APPLICANT WAIVER OR REFUSAL
05PAY / DO NOT PAY
Typed discrepancy and delegated resolution

When a document discrepancy becomes a question

The bank checks the documents it can see, lists mismatches, and routes a waiver decision to the party bearing the commercial risk.

Open case
CASE 005SPACEFLIGHT
01PRODUCE IMPULSE
02POUND-FORCE-SECONDS
03INTERFACE CROSSING
04ASSUME NEWTON-SECONDS
05NAVIGATION ERROR
A declared interface without enforced meaning

The number that crossed without its units

A navigation calculation consumed impulse data under a different unit convention from the system that produced it.

Open case
CASE 006TRADING SYSTEMS
DEPLOYMENTOne of eight servers misses the release
BEFORE OPEN97 automated messages do not produce an effective stop
MARKET OPENRetired code generates erroneous orders
AFTERMATHLoss and regulatory findings
Warnings without a binding stop

Ninety-seven warnings before the market opened

An incomplete deployment left retired behavior reachable. Warning messages existed before trading began, but did not stop the orders.

Open case
CASE 007COMPUTER SECURITY
01DECLARE POLICY
02SUBMIT CODE + PROOF
03CHECK THE EVIDENCE
04ACCEPT OR REFUSE
05EXECUTE ONLY IF ACCEPTED
An untrusted producer and a narrow checker

Code that carries a checkable argument

A consumer can check evidence that untrusted code meets a named safety policy without trusting its author.

Open case